M
MyNextDollar

Financial Scenario Calculator (Australia)

Compare future pathways

Apply a life event → updates Scenario B
A
click name to rename
Annual income
Monthly surplus
Monthly spend (retirement)
Super balance
Investments (ETF)
Salary sacrifice
Return assumptions
ETF return
Super return
Inflation
B
click name to rename
Annual income
Monthly surplus
Monthly spend (retirement)
Super balance
Investments (ETF)
Salary sacrifice
Return assumptions
ETF return
Super return
Inflation
Life event impact
No change
This event does not change your earliest projected FIRE date.
Baseline
Age 60
Scenario B
Age 60
Detailed comparison
MetricBaselineScenario BChange
ETF at retirement$0$0
Bridge required$358,704$358,704
Surplus / shortfall at retirement−$358,704−$358,704
Super at access age$459,401$459,401
Estate at age 95$0$0
On track at target ageShortfallShortfall
Earliest FIRE ageAge 60Age 60
Projections use the Work Freedom (bridge-first) model. Values are nominal. Educational only — not financial advice.
  • Australian assumptions
  • Updated for latest legislation
  • Independent calculator
  • Free to use

How it works

Set a baseline from your current numbers, then create alternative scenarios by changing income, expenses, returns or life events like a career break. The calculator projects each one side by side and shows how many years earlier or later each reaches financial independence, so you can see which decisions actually move the needle.

Financial Decision Modelling

How to Use the Scenario Comparison Calculator

Set your baseline scenario with your current income, savings rate, and balances. Then create an alternative scenario with the changed assumption — lower income, higher expenses, a lump sum cost. The calculator shows you your FIRE date in each scenario and the exact difference.

The delta panel highlights which inputs changed and by how much, so you can see exactly what's driving the difference in outcomes. Use this to evaluate major decisions before committing to them.

Life Decisions

Common Scenarios Worth Modelling

  • Career break / sabbatical — What does 6–12 months without income cost in FIRE years?
  • Upgrading the family home — How does a larger mortgage change your independence date?
  • Having a child — Model the income pause plus the ongoing cost increase.
  • Job change — Higher income but higher super fees, or lower income with more time flexibility.
  • Salary sacrifice strategy — Max super contributions vs investing outside super.
  • Investment property purchase — Deposit opportunity cost, rental income, negative gearing on FIRE timeline.
Scenario Calculator

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a scenario comparison calculator?

A scenario comparison calculator lets you model how a specific life decision — taking a career break, buying a bigger house, having a child — changes your financial independence date. You set a baseline, apply the change, and see the exact difference in years and dollars.

How much does a career break affect my FIRE date?

A one-year career break typically pushes your FIRE date out by 1.5–3 years, not just one. The reason: you lose not just the year's savings, but the compounding those savings would have generated. A career break at 35 on a $500k portfolio at 8% returns costs roughly $40k in forgone growth plus the year's savings — often $60–80k total in future portfolio value.

How does buying a bigger home affect financial independence?

A larger mortgage increases monthly expenses, which raises your FIRE number (the portfolio required to sustain your lifestyle). A $200k larger mortgage at 6.5% adds roughly $1,300/month to repayments. That additional expense requires an extra $400k–$500k in your independence portfolio, assuming a 4% withdrawal rate.

What financial impact does having a child have on FIRE?

Australian government data suggests raising a child to 18 costs $250,000–$450,000. For FIRE planning, the relevant number is the annual cost during the accumulation phase — typically $15,000–$25,000/year during school age, including childcare, education, activities. This reduces your annual surplus and extends your FIRE timeline by 3–7 years depending on income.

Is it better to pay off debt or invest?

Compare the guaranteed return of paying off debt (equal to your interest rate) versus the expected investment return. If your mortgage is 6.5% and you expect 8–9% from ETFs, investing appears better — but ETF returns aren't guaranteed. Risk-averse investors often prefer the certainty of debt payoff. Most financial planners suggest a blend: maintain a meaningful offset while continuing to invest.

How does income growth affect the comparison?

A higher income increases your annual surplus, which compounds faster than a proportional salary increase. Going from $80k to $100k income doesn't just add $20k — after tax it adds roughly $13k/year net, which invested at 8% adds around $190k to your portfolio over 10 years. The scenario calculator shows the FIRE date change from income growth directly.

Should I optimise for earliest FIRE date or total wealth?

These sometimes conflict. Strategies that maximise wealth (e.g., maximising salary sacrifice into super) can delay accessible portfolio growth, pushing out the date when you can actually stop working. Most people benefit from optimising for the earliest date they could stop mandatory work — then continuing to accumulate if they want.

Related Calculators
Work Freedom
When your portfolio covers your lifestyle
Mortgage
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Part-Time Freedom
Semi-retirement income coverage
AssumptionsInflation2.5%·ETF return8.0%·Super return7.5%·Property growth4.5%·Mortgage rate6.10%·Marginal tax32%Educational modelling only · Not financial advice
Adro McIlveen
Built by
Adro McIlveen
Founder & Builder, MyNextDollar

I'm a geologist-turned-builder who got frustrated with financial calculators that hand-wave how Australian tax actually works.

Every projection on MyNextDollar runs on current ATO mechanics for FY2026-27 — Stage-3 brackets, super contribution caps and HELP thresholds.

The calculation engine is covered by 88 unit tests and 10,000 fuzz scenarios, so what you see is exactly what the rules produce — not a rough estimate.

More about MyNextDollar →Adrian McIlveen ↗LinkedIn ↗
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